Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.502088 4.043412 4.638800 5.342005 6.149695 7.048235 8.123653
2024-12-29 2.817306 3.541386 4.405333 5.511301 6.888964 8.548227 10.698657
2025-01-05 2.319120 3.139262 4.189607 5.631533 7.558330 10.043495 13.492865
2025-01-12 1.901718 2.750645 3.908821 5.601046 8.008037 11.307058 16.172754
2025-01-19 1.506620 2.314677 3.482291 5.287585 8.004756 11.939002 18.068272
2025-01-26 1.336667 2.168413 3.434086 5.493136 8.753556 13.712240 21.825473
2025-02-02 1.235746 2.107043 3.497103 5.866008 9.794542 16.042441 26.730264
2025-02-09 1.103760 1.971732 3.419029 5.994714 10.454119 17.847283 31.028034
2025-02-16 0.983737 1.835802 3.316602 6.060985 11.007516 19.532438 35.327866
2025-02-23 0.849332 1.652310 3.103823 5.899621 11.134876 20.494881 38.481610
2025-03-02 0.721576 1.460613 2.847601 5.618966 11.000244 20.962662 40.780741
2025-03-09 0.652327 1.370484 2.766450 5.653148 11.451608 22.541177 45.324164
2025-03-16 0.568883 1.242067 2.598968 5.506102 11.553305 23.512433 48.910466
2025-03-23 0.541594 1.226183 2.654049 5.816970 12.615932 26.491081 56.889282
2025-03-30 0.507047 1.189309 2.660490 6.026869 13.497922 29.217014 64.709981
2025-04-06 0.460319 1.117864 2.582796 6.043206 13.966667 31.142296 71.084108
2025-04-13 0.395573 0.994426 2.372620 5.732671 13.668634 31.387511 73.813375
2025-04-20 0.376063 0.976147 2.399290 5.971822 14.654766 34.577445 83.581431
2025-04-27 0.368613 0.986515 2.494510 6.386980 16.109024 39.002045 96.771336
2025-05-04 0.345709 0.953823 2.480849 6.533133 16.932171 42.057692 107.089424
2025-05-11 0.321248 0.913170 2.441589 6.608935 17.589956 44.796439 116.978227
2025-05-18 0.287391 0.841637 2.313185 6.435345 17.587431 45.917197 122.951986
2025-05-25 0.251817 0.759492 2.144960 6.130827 17.198002 46.012637 126.286549